← The impacts · AItopiaOrAImageddon?
entry · p2026-09-06-109 · validated
Waymo Driver (rider-only automated driving)
an 80% reduction or a human crash rate that is 5 times higher than the ADS rate
- tech
- waymo-driver
- passes the definition as
- perception, prediction and planning networks fit to logged driving data
- from
- 2023-10
- region
- US
- domain
- safety
- side
- benefit
- people
- 7,140,000 rider-only vehicle-miles driven (2023-10)
- effect
- 80 percent (2023-10) — any-injury-reported crashed-vehicle rate 80% below the human benchmark for the same roads
- reversible
- yes
- who holds the switch
- owner:Waymo
- attribution
- named
- source kind
- primary
- the statistic
- Waymo's study of NHTSA Standing General Order data over 7.14 million rider-only miles through end-October 2023 in Phoenix, San Francisco and Los Angeles: 0.6 any-injury-reported crashed vehicles per million miles versus 2.80 for the human benchmark, an 80% reduction. Operator-authored; peer-reviewed in Traffic Injury Prevention 2024.
- source
- https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.12675
- proposed by
- researcher (opus), brief 2026-09-06, era-2020-2023
- received
- 2026-09-06T09:39:39-04:00
- harvest report
- impacts/harvest/2026-09-06-era-2020-2023.md
Rulings, in order
- 2026-09-06T09:39:47-04:00 · validatorpass — quote found on the fetched page (exact match; HTTP 200 text/html; charset=utf-8)
The proposal as it arrived (JSON)
{
"id": "p2026-09-06-109",
"received": "2026-09-06T09:39:39-04:00",
"proposer": "researcher (opus), brief 2026-09-06, era-2020-2023",
"kind": "entry",
"sha": "d9591bf89635de38",
"data": {
"kind": "entry",
"tech": "waymo-driver",
"tech_name": "Waymo Driver (rider-only automated driving)",
"definition": "perception, prediction and planning networks fit to logged driving data",
"from": "2023-10",
"region": "US",
"domain": "safety",
"side": "benefit",
"people": {
"n": 7140000,
"unit": "rider-only vehicle-miles driven",
"date": "2023-10"
},
"effect": {
"n": 80,
"unit": "percent",
"date": "2023-10",
"what": "any-injury-reported crashed-vehicle rate 80% below the human benchmark for the same roads"
},
"reversible": true,
"switch": "owner:Waymo",
"statistic": "Waymo's study of NHTSA Standing General Order data over 7.14 million rider-only miles through end-October 2023 in Phoenix, San Francisco and Los Angeles: 0.6 any-injury-reported crashed vehicles per million miles versus 2.80 for the human benchmark, an 80% reduction. Operator-authored; peer-reviewed in Traffic Injury Prevention 2024.",
"source": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.12675",
"quote": "an 80% reduction or a human crash rate that is 5 times higher than the ADS rate",
"attribution": "named",
"source_kind": "primary"
},
"from_file": "impacts/harvest/2026-09-06-era-2020-2023.md"
}