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candidate · p2026-09-06-134 · exclude-attribution

Ukraine 2022–23

set aside as
EXCLUDED BY ATTRIBUTION
the researcher's note
Ukraine 2022–23. Saker Scout and comparable systems fielded in 2023; vendors cite engagement-success rates rising from 10–20% to 70–80%, but no source gives a measured share of strikes or casualties attributable to learned target recognition.
proposed by
researcher (opus), brief 2026-09-06, era-2020-2023
received
2026-09-06T09:39:39-04:00
harvest report
impacts/harvest/2026-09-06-era-2020-2023.md

Rulings, in order

  1. 2026-09-06T09:39:39-04:00 · researcherexclude-attribution — Ukraine 2022–23. Saker Scout and comparable systems fielded in 2023; vendors cite engagement-success rates rising from 10–20% to 70–80%, but no source gives a measured share of strikes or casualties attributable to learned target recognition.
The proposal as it arrived (JSON)
{
 "id": "p2026-09-06-134",
 "received": "2026-09-06T09:39:39-04:00",
 "proposer": "researcher (opus), brief 2026-09-06, era-2020-2023",
 "kind": "candidate",
 "sha": "4d04c7d948766a18",
 "data": {
  "name": "Ukraine 2022–23",
  "note": "Ukraine 2022–23. Saker Scout and comparable systems fielded in 2023; vendors cite engagement-success rates rising from 10–20% to 70–80%, but no source gives a measured share of strikes or casualties attributable to learned target recognition.",
  "list": "EXCLUDED BY ATTRIBUTION"
 },
 "from_file": "impacts/harvest/2026-09-06-era-2020-2023.md"
}