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candidate · p2026-09-06-237 · not-found

M-Shwari's causal effect (Kenya)

set aside as
NOT FOUND
the researcher's note
M-Shwari's causal effect (Kenya). Verified and strong: Suri, Bharadwaj and Jack (NBER w25604) find "Households are 6.3 percentage points less likely to forego expenses due to negative shocks", from a regression-discontinuity design on the credit-score cutoff with 6,000 surveyed clients and 5,000 sets of administrative data; the paper describes the gate-1 mechanism ("the credit score is a complex formula using individuals' mobile phone and M-PESA data"). Not returned as its own entry because the NBER landing page carries the effect but no population count, and the PDF does not survive WebFetch. One targeted re-run on the published JDE version would close this.
proposed by
researcher (opus), brief 2026-09-06 second harvest, china-india-africa-latam
received
2026-09-06T10:20:12-04:00
harvest report
impacts/harvest/2026-09-06-china-india-africa-latam.md

Rulings, in order

  1. 2026-09-06T10:20:12-04:00 · researchernot-found — M-Shwari's causal effect (Kenya). Verified and strong: Suri, Bharadwaj and Jack (NBER w25604) find "Households are 6.3 percentage points less likely to forego expenses due to negative shocks", from a regression-discontinuity design on the credit-score cutoff with 6,000 surveyed clients and 5,000 sets of administrative data; the paper describes the gate-1 mechanism ("the credit score is a complex formula using individuals' mobile phone and M-PESA data"). Not returned as its own entry because the NBER landing page carries the effect but no population count, and the PDF does not survive WebFetch. One targeted re-run on the published JDE version would close this.
The proposal as it arrived (JSON)
{
 "id": "p2026-09-06-237",
 "received": "2026-09-06T10:20:12-04:00",
 "proposer": "researcher (opus), brief 2026-09-06 second harvest, china-india-africa-latam",
 "kind": "candidate",
 "sha": "e26782cd8344cbc9",
 "data": {
  "name": "M-Shwari's causal effect (Kenya)",
  "note": "M-Shwari's causal effect (Kenya). Verified and strong: Suri, Bharadwaj and Jack (NBER w25604) find \"Households are 6.3 percentage points less likely to forego expenses due to negative shocks\", from a regression-discontinuity design on the credit-score cutoff with 6,000 surveyed clients and 5,000 sets of administrative data; the paper describes the gate-1 mechanism (\"the credit score is a complex formula using individuals' mobile phone and M-PESA data\"). Not returned as its own entry because the NBER landing page carries the effect but no population count, and the PDF does not survive WebFetch. One targeted re-run on the published JDE version would close this.",
  "list": "NOT FOUND"
 },
 "from_file": "impacts/harvest/2026-09-06-china-india-africa-latam.md"
}