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entry · p2026-09-07-046 · validated

Uber dynamic (upfront) pricing and work allocation

93 drivers were worse off in terms of their average per hour pay
tech
uber-dynamic-pricing
passes the definition as
per-trip fares and driver fees set independently by a system whose inputs include predicted cancellation probability and a deep-neural-network ETA
from
2023-01
region
UK
domain
work
side
loss
people
114 drivers (2024-02)
effect
93 people (2024-02) — 93 of 114 drivers with continuous data across the change were worse off in average pay per hour; 21 were better off
reversible
yes
who holds the switch
owner:Uber
attribution
named
source kind
primary
the statistic
For the 114 drivers with monthly data covering the year either side of dynamic pricing (2022/02–2024/02), average pay per hour fell from £18.52 to £17.07 — a larger drop than across the whole sample — and the loss was not evenly spread: 93 drivers were worse off, 21 better off. This is the distributional finding: who bore it, not only how much.
source
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.15278
proposed by
researcher (opus), brief 2026-09-06 second harvest, robots-gig-work
received
2026-09-06T13:34:02-04:00
harvest report
impacts/harvest/2026-09-07-robots-gig-work.md

Rulings, in order

  1. 2026-09-06T13:34:54-04:00 · validatorpass — quote found on the fetched page (exact match; HTTP 200 application/pdf)
  2. 2026-09-06T13:38:18-04:00 · sessionnote — Same study, a 114-driver subset of p2026-09-07-043's panel; bands through 043.
The proposal as it arrived (JSON)
{
 "id": "p2026-09-07-046",
 "received": "2026-09-06T13:34:02-04:00",
 "proposer": "researcher (opus), brief 2026-09-06 second harvest, robots-gig-work",
 "kind": "entry",
 "sha": "7c64350d0df8ce6d",
 "data": {
  "kind": "entry",
  "tech": "uber-dynamic-pricing",
  "tech_name": "Uber dynamic (upfront) pricing and work allocation",
  "definition": "per-trip fares and driver fees set independently by a system whose inputs include predicted cancellation probability and a deep-neural-network ETA",
  "from": "2023-01",
  "region": "UK",
  "domain": "work",
  "side": "loss",
  "people": {
   "n": 114,
   "unit": "drivers",
   "date": "2024-02"
  },
  "effect": {
   "n": 93,
   "unit": "people",
   "date": "2024-02",
   "what": "93 of 114 drivers with continuous data across the change were worse off in average pay per hour; 21 were better off"
  },
  "reversible": true,
  "switch": "owner:Uber",
  "statistic": "For the 114 drivers with monthly data covering the year either side of dynamic pricing (2022/02–2024/02), average pay per hour fell from £18.52 to £17.07 — a larger drop than across the whole sample — and the loss was not evenly spread: 93 drivers were worse off, 21 better off. This is the distributional finding: who bore it, not only how much.",
  "source": "https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.15278",
  "quote": "93 drivers were worse off in terms of their average per hour pay",
  "attribution": "named",
  "source_kind": "primary"
 },
 "from_file": "impacts/harvest/2026-09-07-robots-gig-work.md"
}